Thoroughbred Intelligence & Asset Discovery

Reds Racing & Development finds undervalued two-year-old thoroughbreds before the market does.

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Results

Flagged means the RRD Board marked the horse as a prospect using only what was known before the result shown.

Derby, Preakness and Belmont, 2023 to 2026

9 of 9

runnings won by the crops we cover went to a horse the Board flagged before the race

  • 2024Mystik Dan, Seize the Grey, Dornoch
  • 2025Sovereignty (2), Journalism
  • 2026Golden Tempo (2), Napoleon Solo
  • Flagged Before Their First Race5 of 7 horses
  • Median Head Start204 days

The 2023 runnings were won by an older crop the Board did not follow.

Grade 1 stakes, 2023 to 2026

121 wins

in Grade 1 races by 75 different horses, all flagged by the Board before the race

Share of the Grade 1s won by the crops we cover

  • 202312 of 20 (60%)
  • 202437 of 58 (64%)
  • 202539 of 71 (55%)
  • 202633 of 68 (49%)
  • Won 2 or More Grade 1s30 of 75 horses

What they cost, 2023 to 2026

$325,000

median auction price of those Grade 1 winners, paid before the Board flagged them

  • Cheapest: Thorpedo Anna, Napoleon Solo$40,000
  • Sold for Under $100,0006 of 45
  • Sold at Auction Before the Flag45 of 75 horses

The other 30 never sold at public auction before the flag.

Head start, 2023 to 2026

210 days

median time from the Board's first flag to each horse's first graded stakes win, of any grade

Median to each horse's first win at that grade

  • Grade 1255 days
  • Grade 2259 days
  • Grade 3271 days
  • Golden Tempo, Flag to Kentucky Derby135 days

Flagged vs. the Rest

Reaching $100,000: 2023 debuts 36% vs 13%, 2024 debuts 34% vs 13%, 2025 debuts (through age two) 10% vs 3%.

Earned Back Their Purchase Price

Flagged horses paid back their price more often and earned more per dollar in 10 of 10 price bands, both crops.

How Far Ahead the Board Flags Them

Bar: the middle half of horses. Marker: the typical horse (median). Longer is earlier.

Days from the Board's first flag to each milestone, 2023 to 2026. The typical horse was flagged 127 days before its first $100,000 and 255 days before a Grade 1 win.

Graded Wins Covered

Share of each group's races won by a horse the Board had already flagged.

Flagged ahead of the race: 54% of the 849 graded stakes won by the crops the Board follows, 2023 to 2026. Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont: 9 of 9, 2024 to 2026.

Cream of the Crop

Seven of the 75 Grade 1 winners the Board flagged at two. Each line is a date or a number from the record.

Headline, 2026

Golden Tempo

Kentucky Derby and Belmont winner, 2026

135 days

from the Board's first flag to the Kentucky Derby

From the flag to the Belmont, 170 days

  2. FlaggedDec 18, 2025
  3. 30 days
  4. First Graded WinJan 17, 2026
  5. 105 days
  6. Kentucky DerbyMay 2, 2026
  7. 35 days
  8. Belmont StakesJun 6, 2026
  • FlaggedDec 18, 2025, age two
  • First Start, WonDec 20, 2025
  • Cost Before the FlagNo public sale
  • Grade 1 Wins2
  • Kentucky Derby, Grade 1May 2, 2026
  • Belmont Stakes, Grade 1Jun 6, 2026
  • First Graded WinLecomte Stakes, Jan 17, 2026
  • Graded Wins, All Grades3

A $40,000 Grade 1 winner

Thorpedo Anna

Flagged Oct 24, 2023, age two, before her first start

  • Cost Before the Flag$40,000
  • Head Start to First Grade 1192 days
  • Kentucky Oaks, Grade 1May 3, 2024
  • Acorn Stakes, Grade 1Jun 7, 2024
  • Coaching Club American Oaks, Grade 1Jul 20, 2024
  • and 4 more Grade 1 wins
  • Grade 1 Wins7
  • Graded Wins, All Grades10

Breeders' Cup Classic winner, 2024

Sierra Leone

Flagged Nov 2, 2023, age two, before his first start

  • Cost Before the Flag$2,300,000
  • Head Start to First Grade 1156 days
  • Blue Grass Stakes, Grade 1Apr 6, 2024
  • Breeders' Cup Classic, Grade 1Nov 2, 2024
  • Whitney Stakes, Grade 1Aug 2, 2025
  • Grade 1 Wins3
  • Graded Wins, All Grades4

Kentucky Derby and Belmont winner, 2025

Sovereignty

Flagged Oct 27, 2024, age two, after his first start

  • Cost Before the FlagNo public sale
  • Head Start to First Grade 1188 days
  • Kentucky Derby, Grade 1May 3, 2025
  • Belmont Stakes, Grade 1Jun 7, 2025
  • Travers Stakes, Grade 1Aug 23, 2025
  • and 1 more Grade 1 win
  • Grade 1 Wins4
  • Graded Wins, All Grades6

5 Grade 1 wins

She Feels Pretty

Flagged Jul 14, 2023, age two, before her first start

  • Cost Before the Flag$240,000
  • Head Start to First Grade 164 days
  • Natalma Stakes, Grade 1Sep 16, 2023
  • Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup Stakes, Grade 1Oct 12, 2024
  • American Oaks, Grade 1Dec 26, 2024
  • and 2 more Grade 1 wins
  • Grade 1 Wins5
  • Graded Wins, All Grades6

4 Grade 1 wins

Deterministic

Flagged Aug 10, 2023, age two, before his first start

  • Cost Before the Flag$625,000
  • Head Start to First Grade 1668 days
  • Manhattan Stakes, Grade 1Jun 8, 2025
  • Fourstardave Stakes, Grade 1Aug 2, 2025
  • Manhattan Stakes, Grade 1Jun 6, 2026
  • and 1 more Grade 1 win
  • Grade 1 Wins4
  • Graded Wins, All Grades9

4 Grade 1 wins

Fierceness

Flagged Aug 23, 2023, age two, before his first start

  • Cost Before the FlagNo public sale
  • Head Start to First Grade 172 days
  • Breeders' Cup Juvenile, Grade 1Nov 3, 2023
  • Florida Derby, Grade 1Mar 30, 2024
  • Travers Stakes, Grade 1Aug 24, 2024
  • and 1 more Grade 1 win
  • Grade 1 Wins4
  • Graded Wins, All Grades6
Show All 75 Grade 1 Winners the Board FlaggedHide the List

Scroll the table sideways to see every column.

HorseFlaggedFirst Grade 1 WinHead StartGrade 1 WinsCost Before the Flag
Thorpedo AnnaOct 24, 2023Kentucky Oaks, May 3, 2024192 days7$40,000
She Feels PrettyJul 14, 2023Natalma Stakes, Sep 16, 202364 days5$240,000
FiercenessAug 23, 2023Breeders' Cup Juvenile, Nov 3, 202372 days4No public sale
SovereigntyOct 27, 2024Kentucky Derby, May 3, 2025188 days4No public sale
DeterministicAug 10, 2023Manhattan Stakes, Jun 8, 2025668 days4$625,000
Sierra LeoneNov 2, 2023Blue Grass Stakes, Apr 6, 2024156 days3$2,300,000
JournalismOct 25, 2024Santa Anita Derby, Apr 5, 2025162 days3$825,000
Just F Y IAug 26, 2023Frizette Stakes, Oct 7, 202342 days2No public sale
LockedAug 3, 2023Breeders' Futurity, Oct 7, 202365 days2$425,000
MuthJun 16, 2023American Pharoah Stakes, Oct 7, 2023113 days2$2,000,000
Seize the GreyAug 18, 2023Preakness Stakes, May 18, 2024274 days2$300,000
Book'em DannoSep 9, 2023Woody Stephens Stakes, Jun 8, 2024273 days2No public sale
DornochJul 27, 2023Belmont Stakes, Jun 8, 2024317 days2$325,000
Ways and MeansAug 6, 2023Test Stakes, Aug 3, 2024363 days2No public sale
Chancer McPatrickJul 25, 2024Hopeful Stakes, Sep 2, 202439 days2$725,000
ImmersiveAug 31, 2024Alcibiades Stakes, Oct 4, 202434 days2No public sale
Citizen BullAug 15, 2024American Pharoah Stakes, Oct 5, 202451 days2$675,000
KopionNov 26, 2023La Brea Stakes, Dec 26, 2024396 days2$270,000
Raging TorrentJul 23, 2023Malibu Stakes, Dec 26, 2024522 days2$75,000
La CaraMay 15, 2024Ashland Stakes, Apr 7, 2025327 days2No public sale
Burnham SquareOct 24, 2024Blue Grass Stakes, Apr 8, 2025166 days2No public sale
Zulu Kingdom (IRE)Aug 29, 2024American Turf Stakes, May 3, 2025247 days2No public sale
Patch AdamsNov 30, 2024Woody Stephens Stakes, Jun 7, 2025189 days2No public sale
Test ScoreJul 19, 2024Belmont Derby, Jul 4, 2025350 days2No public sale
NitrogenAug 28, 2024Alabama Stakes, Aug 16, 2025353 days2No public sale
NysosOct 19, 2023Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, Nov 1, 2025744 days2$550,000
SplendoraDec 27, 2023Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint, Nov 1, 2025675 days2$125,000
Golden TempoDec 18, 2025Kentucky Derby, May 2, 2026135 days2No public sale
Counting StarsSep 23, 2025Acorn Stakes, Jun 5, 2026255 days2$150,000
EnglishmanSep 17, 2025Woody Stephens Stakes, Jun 6, 2026262 days2$400,000
BrightworkJul 2, 2023Spinaway Stakes, Sep 3, 202363 days1$95,000
TamaraAug 19, 2023Del Mar Debutante Stakes, Sep 9, 202321 days1No public sale
Prince of MonacoJul 7, 2023Del Mar Futurity, Sep 10, 202365 days1$950,000
CandiedAug 18, 2023Alcibiades Stakes, Oct 6, 202349 days1$165,000
TimberlakeJul 21, 2023Champagne Stakes, Oct 7, 202378 days1$350,000
Hard to JustifyOct 4, 2023Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, Nov 3, 202330 days1$190,000
Leslie's RoseNov 17, 2023Ashland Stakes, Apr 5, 2024140 days1$1,150,000
StrongholdOct 1, 2023Santa Anita Derby, Apr 6, 2024188 days1No public sale
Mystik DanOct 20, 2023Kentucky Derby, May 4, 2024197 days1No public sale
Carson's RunSep 16, 2023Saratoga Derby, Aug 11, 2024330 days1$170,000
IscreamuscreamOct 14, 2023Del Mar Oaks, Aug 17, 2024308 days1$145,000
Power SqueezeAug 17, 2023Alabama Stakes, Aug 17, 2024366 days1$90,000
Domestic ProductOct 27, 2023H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes, Aug 24, 2024302 days1No public sale
TenmaAug 16, 2024Del Mar Debutante Stakes, Sep 7, 202422 days1$850,000
GamingAug 9, 2024Del Mar Futurity, Sep 8, 202430 days1$250,000
And One More TimeJun 24, 2024Natalma Stakes, Sep 14, 202482 days1$750,000
East AvenueAug 24, 2024Breeders' Futurity, Oct 5, 202442 days1No public sale
SandmanAug 10, 2024Arkansas Derby, Mar 29, 2025231 days1$1,200,000
Good CheerSep 28, 2024Kentucky Oaks, May 2, 2025216 days1No public sale
Scottish LassieOct 5, 2024Coaching Club American Oaks, Jul 19, 2025287 days1No public sale
KilwinJul 25, 2024Test Stakes, Aug 2, 2025373 days1$225,000
Hope RoadAug 19, 2023Ballerina Stakes, Aug 23, 2025735 days1No public sale
TroubleshootingNov 23, 2024Franklin-Simpson Stakes, Sep 6, 2025287 days1No public sale
Simply in FrontAug 19, 2023First Lady Stakes, Oct 4, 2025777 days1$115,000
Gin GinAug 6, 2023Spinster Stakes, Oct 5, 2025791 days1No public sale
BentornatoAug 12, 2023Breeders' Cup Sprint, Nov 1, 2025812 days1$170,000
ShisospicyOct 18, 2024Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint, Nov 1, 2025379 days1No public sale
UshaJul 25, 2024La Brea Stakes, Dec 28, 2025521 days1$600,000
CommandmentOct 4, 2025Florida Derby, Mar 28, 2026175 days1$500,000
RenegadeDec 6, 2025Arkansas Derby, Mar 28, 2026112 days1$975,000
Percy's BarApr 21, 2025Ashland Stakes, Apr 3, 2026347 days1$52,000
EclatantJun 19, 2024Madison Stakes, Apr 4, 2026654 days1No public sale
Further AdoJul 24, 2025Blue Grass Stakes, Apr 4, 2026254 days1$550,000
So HappyNov 22, 2025Santa Anita Derby, Apr 4, 2026133 days1$150,000
Stark ContrastSep 6, 2025American Turf Stakes, May 2, 2026238 days1No public sale
Napoleon SoloAug 6, 2025Preakness Stakes, May 16, 2026283 days1$40,000
Thought ProcessSep 7, 2024Gamely Stakes, May 25, 2026625 days1No public sale
MagnitudeJul 20, 2024Stephen Foster Stakes, Jun 27, 2026707 days1$450,000
Baby VinoDec 13, 2025Haskell Stakes, Jul 18, 2026217 days1No public sale
EunomiaAug 3, 2024Clement L. Hirsch Stakes, Aug 1, 2026728 days1$190,000
ExploraAug 15, 2025Test Stakes, Aug 8, 2026358 days1$350,000
KnightsbridgeNov 4, 2023Pacific Classic Stakes, Aug 22, 20261022 days1No public sale
Tam TamAug 21, 2025Del Mar Oaks, Aug 22, 2026366 days1$975,000
Forged SteelOct 27, 2024Goodwood Stakes, Sep 26, 2026699 days1$190,000
Minaret StationOct 6, 2024Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Stakes, Oct 1, 2026725 days1No public sale

What We Do

We find undervalued thoroughbreds the market has missed, before the market realizes it missed them, and bring them to you.

Horses Before the Market

Horses the record says are worth more than their price, found while they still are.

Reviewed by Our Team

Every horse the Board flags is reviewed by our team before it reaches you.

At the Sale or in Private

At auction or from its current owner, we bring you the horse and the way to buy it.

Who We Work With

Anyone who buys, owns, breeds or manages thoroughbreds.

Owners and Ownership Groups

A horse worth more than its price, before you buy.

Trainers and Stables

Purchase candidates, with the record to show your owners.

Bloodstock Agents and Pinhookers

Value the market has not priced, at the sale and after.

Partnerships, Syndicates and Farms

What to buy, and which connections keep winning.

Who We Are

Founder

Hayden Seymour

Analytics and Model Development

Kansas City, Missouri

Founder

Matthew Heinz

Business Development and Partnerships

Chicago, Illinois

Get in Touch

If you buy, own, breed or manage thoroughbreds, our team wants to hear from you.
partners@redsracingdev.com
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